Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.070435 0.082388 0.095708 0.111646 0.130197 0.151106 0.176464
2025-09-14 0.051641 0.067144 0.086271 0.111583 0.144192 0.184787 0.239185
2025-09-21 0.039788 0.056103 0.077861 0.108957 0.152241 0.210353 0.294346
2025-09-28 0.031718 0.047819 0.070713 0.105571 0.157271 0.231112 0.344658
2025-10-05 0.027478 0.043886 0.068539 0.108176 0.170259 0.263753 0.415345
2025-10-12 0.023831 0.040079 0.065726 0.109018 0.180204 0.292590 0.483616
2025-10-19 0.020845 0.036751 0.063017 0.109366 0.189029 0.320315 0.553243
2025-10-26 0.018651 0.034350 0.061375 0.111057 0.200008 0.352511 0.633967
2025-11-02 0.017084 0.032772 0.060846 0.114466 0.214181 0.391532 0.731061
2025-11-09 0.014752 0.029426 0.056676 0.110658 0.214758 0.406512 0.786666
2025-11-16 0.013216 0.027351 0.054535 0.110272 0.221490 0.433218 0.866977
2025-11-23 0.011828 0.025355 0.052256 0.109255 0.226760 0.457594 0.945517
2025-11-30 0.010939 0.024280 0.051704 0.111726 0.239508 0.498419 1.062815
2025-12-07 0.009813 0.022540 0.049566 0.110634 0.244810 0.525055 1.154687
2025-12-14 0.008690 0.020637 0.046820 0.107843 0.246087 0.543445 1.231346
2025-12-21 0.007670 0.018812 0.043990 0.104456 0.245559 0.557819 1.300897
2025-12-28 0.007196 0.018199 0.043793 0.107028 0.258780 0.603747 1.446847
2026-01-04 0.006655 0.017342 0.042911 0.107860 0.268038 0.641804 1.579322
2026-01-11 0.006140 0.016474 0.041888 0.108203 0.276150 0.678126 1.712147
2026-01-18 0.005751 0.015870 0.041428 0.109877 0.287729 0.723976 1.873784
2026-01-25 0.005482 0.015545 0.041625 0.113250 0.304014 0.783127 2.075876
2026-02-01 0.004897 0.014275 0.039218 0.109482 0.301350 0.794859 2.158286
2026-02-08 0.004523 0.013539 0.038126 0.109100 0.307603 0.829988 2.306271